Major U.S. stock indexes posted their biggest declines in more than a week on Monday as investors weighed stronger-than-expected data on durable goods against expectations for a slowing economy that could limit the magnitude of Federal Reserve rate increases.
What happened
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA finished down by 62.42 points, or 0.2%, at 31,438.26.
- The S&P 500 SPX closed lower by 11.63 points, or 0.3%, at 3,900.11.
- The Nasdaq Composite COMP finished down by 83.07 points, or 0.7%, at 11,524.55.
- It was the biggest one-day point and percentage declines for all three indexes since June 16, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Last week, the S&P 500 jumped 6% to snap a three-week losing run. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 7%.
What drove markets
Stocks struggled to hang on to opening gains even after data showed U.S. durable-goods orders rose by 0.7% in May, versus forecasts for a 0.2% rise, and pending home sales rebounded last month, reversing a six-month decline. Investors were caught between recession and inflation fears.
“We’re going to be dealing with this push-and-pull for some time to come now,” Dan Eye, chief investment officer at Fort Pitt Capital Group, said via phone. “I don’t think we can expect to see a situation where inflation comes down significantly without a pretty significant slowdown in economic growth.”
Strategists at Credit Suisse said bond yields may have seen their peak, particularly for Treasury-inflation protected securities, which in turn could mean the dollar DXY is close to its summit. They say their lead indicators are consistent with 0% GDP growth, as evidenced by the collapse in housing affordability, the weakness of corporate confidence and the weakness in the employment gauge of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index.
Stocks had bounced last week in a move analysts credited to expectations that a slowing economy could see the Federal Reserve hike rates less aggressively than previously expected. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell warned lawmakers that achieving a so-called soft landing for the economy as the Fed tightens interest rates would be “very challenging.”
“Global growth and inflation concerns are keeping investors up at night,” said BlackRock Investment Institute’s Jean Boivin and others, in a Monday note. At a June 14-15 semiannual meeting for BlackRock’s portfolio managers and executives, “concerns over a global growth slowdown weighed on participants as a stampede of central banks raised rates in an effort to rein in inflation.”
“Most attendees said they expect to see short cycles, more macro volatility and volatile markets,” Boivin and others wrote.
Group of Seven economic powers met in Germany where they underscored their commitment to Ukraine for the long haul with plans to pursue a price cap on Russian oil.
Companies in focus
- Frontier Airlines parent Frontier Group Holdings Inc. ULCC issued a letter to Spirit Airlines Inc. SAVE shareholders, urging them to support the air carriers’ agreed upon merger deal. In the letter, Frontier Chairman William Franke and Chief Executive Barry Biffle said the recently amended Frontier-Spirit deal offers Spirit shareholders value “well in excess” of JetBlue Airways Corp.’s JBLU “illusory proposal, which lacks any realistic likelihood of obtaining regulatory approval.” Frontier shares finished down by 1.21%, while Spirit shares closed 8% lower and JetBlue shares gained 1.6%.
- Shares of Robinhood Markets Inc. HOOD shares finished 14% higher after the crypto exchange FTX denied conversations with Robinhood about a potential merger or acquisition deal with the trading app, following an earlier news report detailing internal talks at FTX about a potential deal from Bloomberg.
Other assets
- The yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rose 6.8 basis points to 3.193%. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.
- The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY edged down 0.2%.
- Bitcoin BTCUSD fell 2.2% to trade near $20,915.
- Oil futures scored a second gain in a row, with West Texas Intermediate crude for August delivery CLQ22 rising $1.95, or 1.8%, to settle at $109.57 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
- August gold futures lost $5.50, or 0.3%, to settle at $1,824.80 an ounce.
- The Stoxx Europe 600 XX:SXXP finished 0.5% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UK:UKX gained 0.7%.
- The Shanghai Composite CN:SHCOMP ended 0.9% higher, while the Hang Seng Index HK:HSI jumped 2.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 JP:NIK rose 1.4%.