Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.’ So it seems the smart money knows that debt – which is usually involved in bankruptcies – is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that TTM Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTMI) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well – and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does TTM Technologies Carry?
As you can see below, TTM Technologies had US$929.6m of debt, at April 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$519.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$410.5m.
How Strong Is TTM Technologies’ Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that TTM Technologies had liabilities of US$586.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.01b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$519.1m as well as receivables valued at US$731.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$346.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since TTM Technologies has a market capitalization of US$1.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
TTM Technologies has net debt worth 1.6 times EBITDA, which isn’t too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.0 times the interest expense. While that doesn’t worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. One way TTM Technologies could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 16%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TTM Technologies’s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, TTM Technologies actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There’s nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders’ good graces.
Our View
Happily, TTM Technologies’s impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that TTM Technologies can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it’s worth monitoring the balance sheet.