The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway’s Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.’ It’s only natural to consider a company’s balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Seritage Growth Properties (NYSE:SRG) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Seritage Growth Properties’s Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Seritage Growth Properties had US$799.9m of debt in March 2023, down from US$1.44b, one year before. However, it also had US$120.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$679.4m.
A Look At Seritage Growth Properties’ Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Seritage Growth Properties had liabilities of US$57.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$800.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$120.5m in cash and US$26.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$712.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$466.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Seritage Growth Properties would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Seritage Growth Properties’s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future.
Over 12 months, Seritage Growth Properties made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$75m, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Seritage Growth Properties’s falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$66m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we’re not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through US$110m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt.