Warren Buffett famously said, ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. (NYSE:OEC) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Orion Engineered Carbons Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Orion Engineered Carbons had debt of US$710.5m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from US$762.8m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$77.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$633.3m.
A Look At Orion Engineered Carbons’ Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Orion Engineered Carbons had liabilities of US$364.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$871.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$77.1m in cash and US$315.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$843.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.07b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Orion Engineered Carbons’ use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Orion Engineered Carbons has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we’d stop short of calling them problematic. Looking on the bright side, Orion Engineered Carbons boosted its EBIT by a silky 55% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Orion Engineered Carbons can strengthen its balance sheet over time.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Orion Engineered Carbons’s free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we’d expect. That’s not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Neither Orion Engineered Carbons’s ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Orion Engineered Carbons is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start.