Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ It’s only natural to consider a company’s balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hawkins, Inc. (NASDAQ:HWKN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of ‘creative destruction’ where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Hawkins’s Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Hawkins had US$115.8m of debt, an increase on US$95.7m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$23.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$92.4m.
How Strong Is Hawkins’ Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hawkins had liabilities of US$75.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$153.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$23.4m as well as receivables valued at US$102.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$103.2m.
Of course, Hawkins has a market capitalization of US$917.1m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it’s clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Hawkins’s net debt is only 1.00 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 50.6 times the size. So we’re pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we’re happy to report that Hawkins has boosted its EBIT by 36%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hawkins’s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hawkins recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
The good news is that Hawkins’s demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that’s just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Hawkins’s use of debt seems quite reasonable and we’re not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity.