Warren Buffett famously said, ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can’t easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company’s debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Crocs’s Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Crocs had US$2.62b of debt, up from US$686.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$143.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.47b.
How Healthy Is Crocs’ Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Crocs had liabilities of US$571.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.34b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$143.0m and US$423.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.35b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn’t so bad because Crocs is worth US$7.33b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With net debt to EBITDA of 2.7 Crocs has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 9.2 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.7. Importantly, Crocs grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Crocs can strengthen its balance sheet over time.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Crocs produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we’d expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Crocs’s EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14’s goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Crocs can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it’s worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt.